Boris L. Berry (Berri), D.Sc.

Editor of Internet Journal "Annals of Disasters, Periodicity & Prediction", (ADP&P)

505-35Woodridge Cres.
Nepean, ON KTB 7T5
Canada

E-mail: bberri@sympatico.ca

 
   Objectives
 

  • Environmentalist, Geologist-Geophysicist, Glaciologist, Dendroclimatologist, Ph.D., D.Sc.

  • Methods of Short-Term Forecast for the Loss of the Strength of Natural and Artificial Structures; Aspects of the Strength of Snow-Ice Structures and Control of their Stability.

  • Inter-disciplinary Investigation: Research in Time Series, Prediction of Natural Climatic Changes till 2100 as well as of Ecological, Socioeconomical, and Technogenical Dangerous Processes. Prediction of Cool and Warm Climate Periods for 300ky Based on Pleistocene Data.

  • Development and Design of Systems of Observation for Various Dynamic Processes (Avalanches, Landslides, Earthquakes, etc.).

  • Geophysical Methods for Solving of Various Engineering-Geological Tasks of Structural and Dynamic Types.

  • Inventor & Developer of New Sensors, Methods, and Empirical-Theoretical Models for an Environmental Investigation, for an Assessment of Limits of Deciphering of Small Objects on Satellite Photographs of the Earth and Other Planets.
 
   Experience
 

CANADA

  • 2001 - Present, Editor of Internet Journal "Annals of Disasters, Periodicity & Prediction", (ADP&P). Annals Classification of Disasters Amplitudes and Periods Prediction

  • 1997-2000, The Model of Long-Term Forecast of the Dates of the Red River Significant Floods for the Next Century with an Accuracy of +/- 1 year and Flood's Amplitudes with an accuracy of +/- 15%. The Verification of this Forecast has been based on all Registered Red River Floods since 1850. Flood Predictions

  • 1997-2000, Physico-Empirical Model of the Natural Variations of the Northern Hemisphere Temperatures, the Reconstruction (1400-1900), Verification (1400-2000) and Prediction (1965-2100). Natural and Technogenic Climate Signals

  • 1996 - 1997, Terrain Science Division of Geological Survey of Canada. Contractor. Editor. Final scientific editing of the book translated from Russian "Application of Seismic-Acoustic Methods in Hydrogeology and Engineering Geology".

  • 1996-1997,Detection and Physical Explanation of Regularities of Natural Cycles in Different Time Scales; Space-Time Classification and Examples of Mountaneous and Glacial Reliefs, based on the Law of Conservation of Moments. Periodicity Discreteness Geological Periods Cycles of the Past Millennium Anthropogenic Disasters

  • 1994-1996, Physico-Empirical Models for Long-Term Predictions (300,000 Years) and Reconstructions (3 Millions Years) of Surface Conditions (Ocean Temperature in the Equatorial Belt, Land Temperature in the Northern Hemisphere, Levels of Oceans, Volumes of Ice Sheets, Areas of Ice Sheets, Thickness of Permafrost and Loess) and Strategies for Future. Cycles of Pleistocene & Holocene, Predictions & Reconstructions

RUSSIA

  • Before 1994,Laboratory of Snow Avalanches and Mud-Flows, Geographical Department of Moscow State University. Senior Research Scientist, Project Leader of the Themes: "Global Intrasecular Variations of Dangerous Events," "Electromagnetic and Seismic Registration of Avalanches and Their Presages," "Brittle Destruction of Snow and Ice," Long-Term Forecast of Avalanche Activity," "Sensors of Avalanche Danger," "Geophisical Methods of Investigations of Glaciers," "Developing of Radio Waves and Induction Methods."

 
    Education
 

  • Geological Department of Moscow State University, Russia, USSR.

  • M.Sc. in Geology & Geophysics, Ph.D. & D.Sc. (1988) in Geological and Mineralogical Sciences. The Academic Rank of "Senior Research Scientist in the Speciality Engineering Geology, Permafrost, and Soil Sciences. Diplomas of The Higher Attestation Commission of the USSR, Moscow.

  • Theses: M.Sc. -"Quantitative investigation of the jointing of the rocks by resistivity methods." Ph.D. - "Applications of induction methods in engineering exploration." D. Sc. - "Geophysical methods in investigations of snow avalanches and glaciers."

 
    Interests
 

  • Investigating the spectra of the instrumental and natural time series of different solar and terrestrial processes, the regularities of the natural cycles to understand the causes of physical and ecological changes and assess past and future climatic, oceanic, geomorphologic, and tectonic conditions.
     

  • Researching the dangerous processes of climatic, geologic and mixed genesis (floods, mudflows, landslide, snow avalanches, the response of glaciers to climate change, earthquakes) and estimating the possibilities of their long- and short-term prediction, of sustainable management, mitigation or even prevention of future disasters and reconstruction efforts.
     

  • Developing sensors, methods, and physical - empirical models for the monitoring of dangerous processes and prediction of extreme events. Other research interests embody use of geophysical methods for solving of various engineering-geological tasks of structural and dynamic types, including hydrological and hydrogeological problems.

 
 PROFESSIONAL ACHIEVEMENTS:

Predictions of the Dates and Amplitudes of the Red River Significant Floods for the Next Century.

Physico-Empirical Model of the Natural Variations of the Northern Hemisphere Temperatures, the Reconstruction (1400-1900), Verification (1400-2000), and Prediction (1965-2100).

Space-Time Classifications of Mountainous and Glacial Reliefs based on Regularities of Natural Cycles.

Physico-Empirical Models of Glacial and Interglacial Cycles (the Late Pleistocene and Holocene Epochs), Reconstructions for 3 Millions Years and Predictions for 300,000 Years of Surface Conditions.

Detection and Physical Explanation of Regularities of Natural Cycles in Different Time Scales.

Physico-Empirical Models of the Natural Variations in the Angular Velocity and Seismicity of the Earth and Prediction up to 2020.

Physico-Empirical Model and Corroborated Prognoses of More Frequent Origin of Natural and Man-Maid Extreme Events in 1986-87, 1995-97 and 2005-06.

Theoretical and Physico-Empirical Models of the Strength of Snow-Ice samples and layers which Explain Main Empirical Results.

One of the Discovers of the Phenomenon of Generation of Electromagnetic Impulses by Snow Avalanches and Glaciers and one of the Creators of Theoretical Models of the Phenomenon.

Physico-Empirical Model for Short-Term Predictions of Brittle Destruction of Snow Slabs, Ice and Rock Layers based on data about Electromagnetic and Elastic Impulses.

The Relationship between Northern Hemisphere Temperatures and Regional Seismicity of the Vrancea Tectonic Region (1400-2000).

Physico-Empirical Models of the Northern Hemisphere Temperatures (2500 B.P.-1500 A.P.), Verification (1000-1992), and Prediction (1992-3500), of Hale Cycles of the Sun (1400-2100), of the Global Seismicity (1400-2100).   

RECENT PUBLICATIONS

    Berry B. L., 1993a: Conception of Monitoring for Natural and Technical Systems. Abstracts of International Conference "Geophysics and Modern World," Moscow, p.51 (in Russian & English).

    Berry B. L., 1993b: Problems of Long-Term and Short-Term Forecasting of Dangerous Phenomena on Examples of Snow Avalanches. Abstracts of International Conference "Geophysics and Modern World," Moscow, pp. 89-90 (in Russian & English).

    Berry B. L., 1993c: Cyclic Dynamics of Global Processes (Speed of Rotation, Seismic Activity, Hemispherical Temperature). Abstracts of International Conference "Geophysics and Modern World," Moscow, p. 133 (in Russian & English).

    Berry B. L., 1993d. Regularities of Geospherical and Biospherical oscillations. - Relations of biological and physicochemical processes with solar activity and other environmental factors. International Symposium. Abstracts. Pushchino. p.21-22 (in Russian & English).

    Berry, B. L., 1993e: Basic Systems of Geosphere-Biospheric Cycles and the Prediction of Natural Conditions. Biophysics, vol.37, No.3, 1992, pp.414-428 (in Russian), Great Britain, Pergamon Press Ltd., 1993, pp. 328-341 (in English).

    Berry B. L., 1993f: Prediction of Natural Climatic Changes till 2060. Canadian Water Resources Journal, vol.18, No.4, pp. 409-416.

    Berry, B. L. 1993: Periodicity of Geophysical Processes and Its Influence on Development of Lithosphere. - In Evolution of Geological Processes in the History of the Earth. Russian Academy of Scienses. Ed. Academician Laverov, N. P. "Nauka," Moscow, pp. 53-62

    Berry B. L., 1996: Empirical Models for Long-Term Predictions of Climate and Strategies for the Future. Proceeding of IGBP/BAHC-LUCC Joint Inter-Core Projects Symposium on Interactions Between the Hydrological Cycle and Land Use/Cover. Kyoto, Japan, pp.224-227.

    Berry B. L., 1997a: The Last Millennium Changes in Climate and Permafrost, Their Prediction for the 21-st Century. Abstracts of Workshop on Spatial-Temporal Dimensions of High-Latitude Ecosystem change (the Siberian IGBP Transect). September 1-7, 1997, Krasnoyarsk, Russia, p.10.

    Berry B. L., 1997b: Global and Regional Seismicity, Long-Term and Short-Term Prediction. Program and Abstracts. Seismological Society of America, Eastern Section. 69 th Annual Meeting, , Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, 5-8 October 1997, p.12.

    Berry B. L., 1998a: Long-Term Predictions from Three Million Years of Climatic, Glacial and Periglacial History. Permafrost, Seventh International Conference, June 23-27,1998. Program, Abstracts, Report of the International Permafrost Association. Yellowknife, Canada.. p.115-116.

    Berry B. L., 1998b: Regularities of natural cycles, predictions of climate and surface conditions. Hydrological Processes. Vol.12, p.2267-2278.

    Berry B. L., 2000a: Cycles of the Pleistocene epoch and prediction of climatic and permafrost conditions. Abstracts. Rhythms of natural processes in the Earth Cryosphere. Russian Academy of Science. Consolidated Scientific Council on Earth Cryology. Pushino. p. 56 (in Russian), p.220 (in English). Berry B. L., 2000b:Cycles of the last millennium and predictions of climate and permafrost conditions. The same Abstracts. p. 57 (in Russian), p.221 (in English).

    Berry (Berri) B.L., 2000c: Cyclic Regularities in Global Climatic, Glacial, Periglacial, and Geological History. Internet Journal of Geocryology, V.2, p.1 - 8. Abstract Article

    Berry (Berri) B. L., 2001a: Variations of climate and soil temperature regime in the past millennium and their prediction for 200 years. Internet Journal of Geocryology, V.3, p.1 - 13 (in Russian). Abstract (in English). Abstract Article

    Berry (Berri) B. L., 2001b: Stable variations of the temperature of the Northern Hemisphere. Data of the second conference of Russian geocryologists. Moscow University. V. 3, p. 3-8 (in Russian).

    Berry (Berri) B. L., 2001c: Stable polyharmonic oscillations of the temperature regime of the soils in the northern part of Western Siberia. Data of the second conference of Russian geocryologists. Moscow University. V. 2, p. 44-49 (in Russian).

    Berry (Berri) B. L., 2001d: Discreteness of the oscillations of the solar system. International Crimean seminar "Cosmos and biosphere. Physical fields in biology, medicine and ecology", Partenit, Crimea, Ukraine October 1-6, 2001. (in English) (in Russian)

    Berry (Berri) B. L., 2001e: Solar system oscillations and physical-empirical climatic models. Abstracts of Global Change Open Science Conference: Challenges of a Changing Earth. 10-13 July, 2001 Amsterdam, The Netherlands, p. 232. Abstract

    Berry (Berri) B. L., 2002a: Physical-empirical models of Sun system’s, solar and climatic steady variations. Internet Journal: Annals of Disasters, Periodicity & Prediction. V.1. 36p. Article

    Berry (Berri) B. L., 2002b: Discrete Natural Periods of the Solar System. Internet Journal: Annals of Disasters, Periodicity & Prediction. V.1. 12p. Article

    Berry (Berri) B. L.,2004a: Solar system oscillations and models of natural processes. Technical Program and Abstracts. 15th International Symposium on Earth Tides. Ottawa, Canada, 33. http://www.yorku.ca/ets/FRIDAY-AM-PM.pdf 

    Berry (Berri) B. L., 2004b: Space - time classification of mountainous and glacier relief. Technical Program and Abstracts. 15th International Symposium on Earth Tides. Ottawa, Canada, 35. http://www.yorku.ca/ets/FRIDAY-AM-PM.pdf 

    Berry (Berri) B. L., 2004c: Parallelisms of regional tectonic and climatic processes for 1400-2000. Technical Program and Abstracts. 15th International Symposium on Earth Tides. Ottawa, Canada, 39. http://www.yorku.ca/ets/TUESDAY-PM.pdf 

    Berry (Berri) B. L., 2004d: Parallelisms of global tectonic and climatic processes for 1600-2000. Technical Program and Abstracts. 15th International Symposium on Earth Tides. Ottawa, Canada, 39. http://www.yorku.ca/ets/TUESDAY-PM.pdf 

    Berri B., 2005a: Long-term predictions of the Red River Floods (RRF). Adapting to Climate Change in Canada 2005. Understanding Risks and Building Capacity. Conference Program and Abstracts. Montreal, Quebec, Canada, 157. (2005). http://www.adaptation2005.ca/posters_e.html#b 

    Berry (Berri) B. L., 2005b: Long-term predictions of the Red River Floods. Internet Journal: Annals of Disasters, Periodicity & Prediction. V.3. 9p. http://www.netpilot.ca/geocryology/annals/index.html 

    Franz Halberg, F. et al., Berri B. L., 2005c: Incidence of sudden cardiac death, myocardial infarction and far- and near-transyears. Biomedicine & Pharmacotherapy 59 (2005) p. 238–260. http://france.elsevier.com/direct/BIOPHA/ 

    Berry, B.L., 2006a. Solar system oscillations and models of natural processes.

    Journal of Geodynamics, V. 41, Issues 1-3, 2006, p. 133-139. Website Link

    Berry (Berri), B. L., 2006b. Development of the Arctic region and stabilization of the global climate. International conference. Earth Cryosphere Assessment: Theory, Applications and Prognosis of Alterations. Tyumen. Russia. (in English & Russian).

    Berry (Berri) B. L., 2006c: Predictions of natural processes and the problem of the climate stabilization. - In Mathematical Methods for Analysis of Geological Cycles. Moscow State Open University. Ed. Afanasiev S. L. Volume 13. Data of XIII International Conference Moscow, 13 March, 2006. Moscow: Voentekhizdat, pp. 158-168.

    Berry (Berri) B. L., 2006d: Arctic & Earth Environmental Changes: from 3.0 My B. P. to 0.3 My A. P. Abstract # 0117. Session #2. Arctic Environmental Change: a Cross-disciplinary, Pan-Arctic Perspective in the Context of Earth System Studies. ESSP Open Science Conference, Beijing, China, 9-12 Nov, 2006. Volume 5 of ADP&P

    Berry (Berri) B. L., 2006e: Variations of Climate and Soil Temperature Regime for 1000-2200. Abstract # 0119. Session # 2. The same Conference. Volume 5 of ADP&P

    Berry (Berri) B. L. & Ozornoy G. I., 2006f: The Model of Northern Hemisphere Temperature Anomalies (MNHTA) & Internal Aperiodic Climate Signal (IACS). Abstract # 0545, Session # 24: Integrating Past Records of Human-Environment-Climate Interactions for Future Sustainability. The same Conference. Volume 5 of ADP&P

    Berry (Berri) B. L., 2006g: Predictions of Natural Disasters (PND). Time Scales 100-10,000 Years. Abstract # 0121. Session # 32: Planning for Natural Disaster Mitigation – Issues on Ecological and Social Risk. The same Conference. Volume 5 of ADP&P

    Berry (Berri) B. L., 2006h: Natural Sea-level Oscillations from 3.0 My B.P. to 0.3 My A.P. Abstract # 0263. Session # 37: Sea-level Rise, Vulnerability and Impacts. The same Conference. Volume 5 of ADP&P
     

      

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