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  Periodicity of Dangerous Processes & Disasters
             
Investigation into variations of climate, the evolution of the biosphere, the structures and composition of the lithosphere raise problems of seeking the source of cyclical processes. The Earth is an open resonance system in which forced, intrinsic and auto-oscillatory processes synchronize and have a complex genesis. Isolation of the constituent processes and determination of the cause-effect relations are extremely difficult. Future climates depend not only on increases in greenhouse gas concentrations (internal components) and earth orbital changes (external ones), but also depend heavily on changes in global ocean circulation and sea surface temperature (both components). The current moment of time is tied to geological multi-million year cycles, climatic thousand-year and intrasecular rhythms. The principal geological periods from 19 to 37Ma correspond to the events during which the solar system crossed the spiral galactic streams of matter. The boundary of the Quaternary (1.5Ma BP) was forming during the last intersection of the arm of Orion-Cygnus with the solar system (2.7-0.7Ma). There is a stable cooling trend and Matuyama reversed epoch at that time. Oscillations with periods (TJ = 0.075* 2J/16y) under 2 Ma have been formed inside the solar system. The structure of rhythms with 16 periods into an octave has determined cosmic, solar, and terrestrial processes. The laws of conservation of momenta create spectra: AJ = SI* TJ 1/2 , where AJ - amplitudes, SI - constants for series of cycles. These regularities, which are very convenient to classify cycles and land forms, permit estimation of time of formation of geomorphic objects. The reconstructions for the last glacial period, approximation and extrapolation of the last homogeneous part of the row allow enhancement of the interpretation of the isotope series.

References:

 Berry, B. L. 1992. Basic systems of geospheric - biospheric cycles and the prediction of natural conditions. Biophysics, Vol.37, N3, 414-428, (in Russian), Pergamon Press Ltd. Printed in Great Britain, 1993, 328-341 (in English).

                   
 
  

Editor: Boris L. Berry (Berri), D.Sc.

   

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